Hospital Closure in America 2026
Across the United States, hospitals are closing at a pace that is now drawing urgent responses from federal agencies, congressional lawmakers, and public health researchers alike. A hospital closure — in its strictest definition — occurs when a facility permanently ends all inpatient services, emergency department operations, and general acute care. But the broader category also includes hospital conversions, where a facility stops providing inpatient care but continues operating outpatient clinics, primary care, or emergency services under a restructured model. Both types of closures leave measurable gaps in communities, and both are tracked by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), the American Hospital Association (AHA), and the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) as indicators of systemic stress in the national healthcare landscape.
What makes hospital closures in 2026 particularly alarming is not just the raw count of facilities shutting down — it is the acceleration of that trend in the face of converging financial pressures. As of the 2024 AHA Annual Survey, there are 6,100 hospitals currently operating in the United States, down from 6,146 just five years earlier. From 2010 to 2023, the US recorded 108 more hospital closures than openings among general acute care facilities. In 2024 alone, 25 hospitals closed. By mid-2025, the pace had already surpassed the prior year with 19 closures confirmed before August. Meanwhile, 734 rural hospitals — roughly one in three of all rural facilities nationwide — are currently classified as at risk of closure due to severe financial problems, according to the most current CMS cost report analysis. The data paints a sobering portrait of a healthcare system under structural strain, and understanding it begins with the numbers.
Interesting Key Facts About Hospital Closures in the US 2026
Before examining the data in depth, the following table captures the most important, verified facts on US hospital closures drawn from AHA, GAO, CMS, USDA/ERS, and the Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform (CHQPR) — the primary government and institutional sources tracking this crisis.
| Key Fact | Data Point |
|---|---|
| Total US Hospitals Operating (2024 AHA Survey) | 6,100 |
| Total Community Hospitals | 5,121 |
| Total Staffed Beds, All US Hospitals | 907,216 |
| Total Hospital Admissions Annually | 35,658,583 |
| Net Hospital Closures Over Openings (2010–2023) | 108 more closures than openings |
| Total Hospital Closures (Rural + Urban, FY 2019–2023) | 118 closures (GAO, 2025) |
| Urban Hospital Closures vs. Openings (2019–2023) | 72 closures vs. 55 openings |
| Rural Hospital Closures/Conversions (2005–2023) | 146 total — 81 complete shutdowns |
| Hospital Closures in 2024 | 25 US hospitals closed |
| Hospital Closures in 2025 (through mid-year) | At least 19 — pace to outpace 2024 |
| Rural Hospitals Currently at Risk of Closure | 734 (January 2026, CHQPR/CMS data) |
| Rural Hospitals at Immediate Risk of Closure (2–3 yrs) | ~323 |
| % of Rural Hospitals Operating in the Red | 46% nationally |
| % of States Where 25%+ of Rural Hospitals Are at Risk | More than half of all states |
| States with 50%+ of Rural Hospitals at Risk | 10 states |
| Medicaid Shortfall for US Hospitals (2023) | $27.5 billion (AHA) |
| Rural L&D Unit Closures Since End of 2020 | 116 total — 27 in 2025 alone |
| Surgical Hospital Net Decrease (2010–2020) | 298 fewer surgical hospitals nationally |
| Medicare Sequestration Cost to Rural Hospitals (2025) | $509 million and 8,000+ jobs |
| USDA CF Program: Recipient Hospitals Less Likely to Close | 94% less likely to close within 6 years of funding |
Source: AHA Fast Facts on U.S. Hospitals, 2026 Edition (2024 Annual Survey data); U.S. GAO Report GAO-25-106473, published September 19, 2025; USDA Economic Research Service Report ERR-344, 2025; Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform (CHQPR) analysis based on CMS cost reports, verified through December 2025; Chartis 2025 State of Rural Health report (CMS HCRIS Q3 2024 data)
These numbers collectively tell a story that goes well beyond individual facilities shutting their doors. The fact that 46% of rural hospitals are currently operating in the red, combined with 323 facilities facing immediate closure risk within two to three years, means that millions of Americans are living within communities whose only nearby hospital may disappear in the near term. The Medicaid shortfall of $27.5 billion documented by the AHA in 2023 — the gap between what Medicaid pays hospitals and what care actually costs — is perhaps the single most important structural driver behind the entire closure wave. This is not a problem unique to one region or one type of hospital; it is a system-wide funding gap that no amount of operational efficiency can bridge on its own.
The closure of 116 rural labor and delivery (L&D) units since 2020, with 27 closures in 2025 alone, adds a particularly sharp human dimension to these statistics. Only 41% of rural hospitals now provide maternity services at all, meaning that rural women in large swaths of the country must travel significant distances to give birth safely. The USDA/ERS research finding that hospitals receiving Community Facilities Program funding were 94% less likely to close within six years of receiving support underscores how targeted federal investment, when properly directed, can genuinely counteract these forces — and how the withdrawal of such support accelerates the crisis.
Total Hospital Numbers and Bed Capacity Statistics in the US 2026
The scale of the US hospital system is enormous, but the trajectory of key indicators tells a story of shrinkage rather than growth in access and capacity.
| Indicator | Data Point (2024 AHA Annual Survey) |
|---|---|
| Total All US Hospitals | 6,100 |
| Community Hospitals (All Types) | 5,121 |
| Nonprofit Community Hospitals | 2,984 |
| For-Profit Community Hospitals | 1,224 |
| State & Local Government Community Hospitals | 913 |
| Federal Government Hospitals | 210 |
| Nonfederal Psychiatric Hospitals | 656 |
| Rural Community Hospitals | 1,797 |
| Urban Community Hospitals | 3,324 |
| Hospitals in a Health System | 3,567 |
| Total Staffed Beds (All Hospitals) | 907,216 |
| Community Hospital Staffed Beds | 775,297 |
| Total Annual Admissions (All Hospitals) | 35,658,583 |
| Community Hospital Annual Admissions | 33,553,725 |
| Hospital Employees (as of 2024–2025) | ~5.6 million |
Source: AHA Fast Facts on U.S. Hospitals, 2026 Edition — based on 2024 AHA Annual Survey, published January 2026
The AHA’s 2026 Fast Facts confirm that the US now has 6,100 hospitals, slightly down from 6,146 five years ago and from 6,093 in the 2023 survey cycle. The most striking structural reality within these numbers is the community hospital breakdown — of the 5,121 community hospitals, only 1,797 are in rural settings, compared to 3,324 in urban areas. Rural hospitals thus represent roughly 35% of all community hospitals while serving populations that, by geography alone, are far harder to replace when closures occur. The staffed bed count of 907,216 sounds vast on paper, but with 35.6 million annual admissions, the system is operating with limited surplus capacity — and closures do not simply redistribute that capacity to neighboring facilities in any predictable way.
The consolidation trend is also striking: 3,567 of the nation’s community hospitals — more than two-thirds — are now affiliated with a health system. This consolidation has been a double-edged force. On one hand, system affiliation can bring financial support, shared services, and operational stability that standalone hospitals lack. On the other, it has also been associated with hospital closures when health systems determine that financially struggling member facilities no longer fit their strategic priorities. The GAO’s 2025 report on urban hospital closures found that all five urban hospitals studied saw steady financial deterioration over five years before closure, and that in several cases, system-level decisions played a role in the final determination to close.
Rural Hospital Closure Statistics in the US 2026
Rural hospital closures are the most extensively documented and most urgent dimension of the broader hospital closure crisis. The data drawn from CMS cost reports, USDA/ERS, and the CHQPR provides the most granular and current picture available.
| Rural Hospital Closure Indicator | Data Point |
|---|---|
| Rural Hospital Closures/Conversions (2005–2023) | 146 — tracked by USDA/ERS |
| Complete Rural Hospital Shutdowns (2005–2023) | 81 |
| Rural Hospital Conversions (2005–2023) | 65 — lost inpatient care only |
| Rural Closures in 2023 | 8 — equal to 2021+2022 combined |
| Rural Closures in 2024 | ~8 (trending with 2023) |
| Rural Closures/Conversions in 2025 (through August) | At least 18 confirmed |
| Since 2010: Rural Hospitals Lost Inpatient Care | 182 total |
| Rural Hospitals Now at Risk of Closure | 734 (January 2026 CHQPR update) |
| Rural Hospitals at Immediate Risk (2–3 years) | ~323 |
| % of All Rural Hospitals at Risk | ~1 in 3 (33%) |
| Rural Hospitals Currently Operating at a Loss | 46% nationally |
| Median Operating Margin — Rural Hospitals (2025) | 1.0% nationally |
| Median Operating Margin — Medicaid Expansion States | 1.5% |
| Median Operating Margin — Non-Expansion States | -1.5% |
| Rural L&D Units Still Providing Maternity Care | Only 41% of rural hospitals |
| Rural L&D Unit Closures Since 2020 | 116 total; 27 in 2025 alone |
Source: USDA Economic Research Service (ERS) Report ERR-344, 2025; Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform (CHQPR), CMS cost report data through December 2025; Chartis 2025 State of Rural Health report; Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research, University of North Carolina
The acceleration of rural hospital closures since 2022 is one of the most significant healthcare access developments of the decade. After a slower period through 2021, closures picked up sharply — 2023 saw 8 rural closures, as many as 2021 and 2022 combined — and 2025 appeared on pace to set a new high-water mark, with at least 18 rural hospitals closing or converting through just the first eight months of the year. The USDA’s 2025 ERS report is particularly clarifying on the structural driver: financial stress is the primary cause, and it is compounded by smaller size, lower occupancy rates, and greater sensitivity to economic fluctuations relative to urban hospitals.
The Medicaid expansion divide is stark and measurable. Rural hospitals in states that expanded Medicaid under the ACA carry a median operating margin of 1.5%, while those in the 10 non-expansion states sit at a median of -1.5% — a three percentage point difference that, on the thin margins rural hospitals operate on, is often the difference between survival and closure. The AHA documented that 74% of rural hospital closures happened in states where Medicaid expansion was not in place or had been in place for less than a year. States like Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Kansas — which have either not expanded Medicaid or only recently did so — dominate every at-risk ranking. This is not a coincidence; it is a direct, measurable policy consequence.
Hospital Closure Statistics by State in the US 2026
State-level data on rural hospital closure risk provides the most actionable picture for understanding where the crisis is most concentrated. The following data is drawn from the CHQPR’s most current analysis based on CMS cost reports through December 2025.
| State | Rural Hospitals at Risk (6–7 yrs) | At Immediate Risk (2–3 yrs) | % at Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 82 | 21 | 53% |
| Arkansas | 30 | 12 | 64% |
| Oklahoma | 48 | 22 | 64% |
| Alabama | 28 | 23 | 58% |
| Kansas | 46 | — | ~47–63% |
| Mississippi | 28 | — | ~49–52% |
| Tennessee | 16 | 14 | 31% |
| Connecticut | 3 | 2 | 75% |
| Georgia | 22 | — | ~34% |
| California | 18 | 5 | 31% |
| Pennsylvania | 17 | 9 | 33% |
| Missouri | — | — | ~34% |
| Vermont | — | 4 | 62% |
| Maine | 11 | 7 | 44% |
| South Carolina | 7 | 4 | 32% |
| Delaware / Utah | 0 | 0 | 0% |
Source: Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform (CHQPR), analysis based on CMS cost report data, verified through December 2025; Chartis 2025 State of Rural Health report (CMS HCRIS Q3 2024)
The geographic concentration of the rural hospital closure crisis is unmistakable. Texas carries the heaviest absolute burden — 82 rural hospitals at risk, representing more than half of its rural facilities — but the percentage picture is arguably worse elsewhere. Arkansas and Oklahoma each have 64% of their rural hospitals at risk, meaning nearly two out of every three rural hospitals in those states face a realistic path to closure within six to seven years. Connecticut, with 75% of its three rural hospitals at risk, is a reminder that the crisis is not exclusively a Southern or rural South phenomenon. The 10 states where a majority of rural hospitals are at risk include a broad geographic cross-section of America.
At the opposite end of the spectrum, Delaware and Utah currently report zero rural hospitals at risk, reflecting a combination of smaller rural hospital counts, stronger state Medicaid programs, and more favorable payment environments. These outliers highlight that policy choices — particularly around Medicaid expansion, state supplemental payments, and critical access hospital designation — genuinely influence outcomes. The pattern is consistent: states that have made deliberate investments in rural hospital sustainability, whether through Medicaid expansion, state-funded supplemental payments, or targeted rural health programs, consistently show lower closure risk rates than those that have not.
Urban Hospital Closure Statistics in the US 2026
While rural hospital closures dominate public discourse on this issue, the U.S. Government Accountability Office released a landmark report in September 2025 specifically documenting the growing and underappreciated problem of urban hospital closures.
| Urban Hospital Closure Indicator | Data Point |
|---|---|
| Urban Hospital Closures (FY 2019–2023) | 72 closures |
| Urban Hospital Openings (FY 2019–2023) | 55 openings |
| Net Urban Hospital Deficit (2019–2023) | -17 net loss |
| Total Urban + Rural Hospital Closures (FY 2019–2023) | 118 total |
| US Hospitals in Urban Areas (as % of total) | ~50% |
| US Population in Urban Areas | ~80% |
| Pre-Closure Financial Pattern | All 5 GAO-studied hospitals had financial losses for 5 years prior |
| Typical Pre-Closure Operating Margin Range | -30% to -13.5% (fiscal year 2022) |
| Post-Closure Outcomes: Still Providing Outpatient Care | 2 of 5 converted to outpatient |
| Post-Closure Outcomes: Fully Ceased All Services | 3 of 5 — all services ended |
| Net Decrease in Surgical Hospitals (2010–2020) | 298 fewer surgical hospitals nationwide |
| National Hospital Spending (2022) | $1.38 trillion (~33% of total US health spend) |
| Patients Admitted to ~4,500 Acute Care Hospitals (2022) | Nearly 30 million |
Source: U.S. Government Accountability Office, GAO-25-106473, “Urban Hospitals: Factors Contributing to Selected Hospital Closures and Related Changes in Available Health Care Services,” published August 20, 2025, publicly released September 19, 2025; AHA Fast Facts on U.S. Hospitals, 2026 Edition
The GAO’s September 2025 report on urban hospital closures is a foundational government document for understanding this dimension of the crisis. Its core finding — that more urban hospitals closed than opened between 2019 and 2023, with 72 closures against 55 openings — marks a meaningful reversal from historical patterns in which urban healthcare markets were considered more financially stable than their rural counterparts. The report’s analysis of five specific urban hospital closures found universal financial deterioration: every single facility studied had experienced sustained losses or declining profits over the five years preceding closure. Three had profit margins ranging from -30% to -13.5% in fiscal year 2022 — numbers that no organization can sustain for long.
The community consequences documented by the GAO are as important as the financial ones. After closure, three of the five hospitals ceased all services entirely, ending all health access for communities that were already facing barriers. Most of the closed hospitals were safety-net facilities serving low-income and racially diverse inner-city neighborhoods — communities where residents often lack adequate transportation to reach alternative facilities or are unaware of other providers. The GAO also noted that limited advance notice was given in multiple cases, leaving residents with little time to arrange alternative care. Urban hospital closures, the GAO concluded, can affect patients’ ability to receive care at the right place and the right time — particularly for time-sensitive emergencies like cardiac events, stroke, and obstetric complications.
Primary Causes of Hospital Closures in the US 2026
The drivers behind US hospital closures are well-documented across federal and institutional research sources. They cluster around financial, structural, and policy factors that have been intensifying over more than a decade.
| Cause of Hospital Closure | Key Data Point / Context | Primary Source |
|---|---|---|
| Medicaid Underpayment (Shortfall) | $27.5 billion shortfall in 2023 | AHA, 2025 |
| Medicare Sequestration Cuts | $509 million/year loss for rural hospitals; 8,000+ jobs | Chartis, 2025 (CMS HCRIS data) |
| Non-Expansion Medicaid States | 74% of rural closures in non-expansion states | AHA Fact Sheet, 2025 |
| Inadequate Private Insurer Reimbursement | CHQPR: Private insurer losses are the biggest cause of overall losses | CHQPR/CMS, 2025 |
| Aging Infrastructure / Deferred Capital | All 5 GAO-studied urban hospitals cited aging facility upgrade costs | GAO-25-106473, 2025 |
| Declining Inpatient Volumes | Inpatient volumes declined at 4 of 5 urban hospitals before closure | GAO-25-106473, 2025 |
| Labor Costs / Workforce Shortages | Labor = 56% of total hospital costs in 2024 | AHA Report, April 2025 |
| Low Occupancy Rates (Rural) | Rural hospitals have lower occupancy and smaller size as structural disadvantages | USDA ERS ERR-344, 2025 |
| Bad Debt / Charity Care Reimbursement | 35% reduction in reimbursement for charity care = $159M/yr loss to rural hospitals | Chartis, 2025 |
| Federal Medicaid Policy (OBBBA 2025) | CBO estimates: $911 billion in Medicaid/CHIP cuts over 10 years | CBO, 2025 |
Source: AHA New Report on Hospital Financial Challenges, April 30, 2025; GAO-25-106473, September 2025; USDA ERS ERR-344, 2025; Chartis 2025 State of Rural Health; Congressional Budget Office (CBO) score of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, 2025
The financial anatomy of a hospital closure follows a remarkably consistent pattern across both rural and urban settings. At the root is almost always a sustained gap between the cost of providing care and the reimbursement received for that care. The AHA documents that Medicare and Medicaid systematically underpay hospitals — and those underpayments compound on the thin margins that define rural and safety-net hospitals in particular. The CHQPR’s analysis is emphatic that losses on private insurance patients are the single biggest driver of overall losses at rural hospitals, a finding that challenges the narrative that Medicaid dependency alone explains the crisis. Even hospitals in Medicaid expansion states with reasonable public payer mixes are losing money because private insurers — whose reimbursement rates are nominally higher — are not paying enough to offset the cost of care for commercially insured patients.
Layered on top of the payment gap is the capital deterioration problem. The GAO found that in every urban hospital it studied, the anticipated cost of upgrading or maintaining aging facilities contributed directly to the decision to close rather than continue operating. Many of these facilities are decades old, and the capital investment required to bring them into compliance with modern standards or simply to keep them functional exceeds what their operating margins can support. This catch-22 — a facility that cannot generate enough revenue to fund the maintenance required to keep generating revenue — is one of the most intractable structural features of the closure crisis, and it disproportionately affects nonprofit and government-owned hospitals that cannot access equity markets the way for-profit systems can.
Impact of Hospital Closures on Communities in the US 2026
The consequences of hospital closures extend far beyond individual patients needing care. They reshape entire communities — economically, socially, and in terms of long-term population health outcomes.
| Impact Area | Documented Effect | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Emergency Care Travel Distance | Rural patients shift from 12-minute to 72-minute ER travel times | Fierce Healthcare, 2025 |
| Maternity Care Deserts | Only 41% of rural hospitals now offer L&D services | Chartis / CHQPR, 2025 |
| Job Losses — Direct | Rural hospital closures eliminate some of the largest employers in those communities | AHA, USDA ERS, 2025 |
| Job Losses — Medicare Sequestration Alone | 8,000+ rural healthcare jobs at risk from 2% Medicare cut | Chartis, 2025 |
| Ischemic Heart Disease Mortality | Rural closures associated with increased mortality from IHD at county level | AHA Journals, Circulation, 2024 |
| Surgical Hospital Closures: Equity Impact | Closures disproportionately affect socioeconomically disadvantaged communities | ACS Clinical Congress, 2025 |
| Economic Downstream Effects | Community income declines, unemployment rises following hospital closures | Peer-reviewed literature, PMC 2022 |
| Neighboring Hospital Overcrowding | Closure of one rural hospital increases ED visits and admissions at nearby facilities | PMC / AHA research, 2022–2025 |
| Reduced Access for Veterans | Nearly 25% of all veterans reside in rural communities most at risk | Chartis, 2025 |
| Medicaid Cut Downstream Effect | $50 billion Rural Health Fund covers only ~37% of estimated rural Medicaid losses | CBO, 2025 |
Source: Chartis 2025 State of Rural Health (CMS HCRIS Q3 2024); AHA Medicaid Fact Sheet, June 2025; U.S. GAO Blog Post, September 24, 2025; ACS Clinical Congress Research Presentation, October 2025; Congressional Budget Office estimates, 2025; PMC peer-reviewed research on bystander hospital effects
The human cost of hospital closures crystallizes most sharply around emergency care access. In large swaths of rural America, the closure of a single hospital transforms a community that was 12 minutes from an ER into one that is 72 minutes away — a gap that, for time-sensitive emergencies like stroke, heart attack, or traumatic injury, is clinically lethal. Research published in the AHA Journals (Circulation, 2024) confirmed that rural hospital closures are directly associated with increased mortality from ischemic heart disease at the county level — real people dying from conditions that are survivable when a functioning emergency department is nearby but fatal when it is not. The ACS study presented at the 2025 Clinical Congress found that the net loss of 298 surgical hospitals between 2010 and 2020 disproportionately impacted communities with the highest social vulnerability scores — exactly the populations least able to absorb reduced access.
Beyond direct health outcomes, the economic consequences of hospital closures create a second wave of community damage. Rural hospitals are typically among the largest employers in their communities, and their closure triggers cascading effects: local unemployment rises, associated businesses lose customers, property tax bases erode, and the communities become less attractive to other employers and residents. Research consistently documents income declines and population loss in the years following a rural hospital closure. The “bystander hospital” effect — where nearby hospitals experience a sudden surge in ED visits and admissions when a neighboring facility closes — also means that the consequences extend beyond the immediate closure community, straining resources at hospitals that are often already running close to capacity. This interconnected reality makes hospital closures not just a healthcare problem, but a comprehensive rural development crisis.
Key Federal Policy Context for Hospital Closures in the US 2026
The legislative and regulatory environment of 2025–2026 has introduced a new tier of financial pressure on already-struggling hospitals, primarily through changes to Medicaid funding.
| Policy / Program | Key Data / Impact | Source |
|---|---|---|
| One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA, signed July 4, 2025) | $911 billion in Medicaid/CHIP cuts over 10 years (CBO estimate) | CBO, 2025 |
| Medicaid Enrollees Expected to Lose Coverage | Up to 10 million individuals (CBO estimate) | Harvard T.H. Chan School / CBO, 2025 |
| Rural Health Transformation Program (OBBBA) | $50 billion allocation — covers only ~37% of estimated rural Medicaid losses | CBO / Harvard HSPH, 2025 |
| Medicare DSH Payment Cuts (effective Oct 2025) | Reductions to Disproportionate Share Hospital payments went into effect | AHA / Harvard HSPH, 2025 |
| CMS CY2026 OPPS Rate Update | Only +2.6% net increase — AHA called it “inadequate” | AHA News, November 2025 |
| Medicare Sequestration (2% cut) | Costs rural hospitals $509M/year and 8,000+ jobs | Chartis, 2025 |
| USDA Community Facilities (CF) Program | Recipients are 94% less likely to close within 6 years | USDA ERS ERR-344, 2025 |
| Medicaid Expansion States vs. Non-Expansion | 74% of rural closures in states without full expansion | AHA, 2025 |
| At-Risk Hospitals Under OBBBA Medicaid Cuts | 400+ hospitals at high risk of closing or cutting services | Public Citizen analysis, CMS data 2022–2024 |
Source: Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimate of One Big Beautiful Bill Act, 2025; Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Healthcare Quality and Outcomes Lab, November 2025; AHA News, November 21, 2025; USDA ERS ERR-344, 2025; Chartis 2025 State of Rural Health; Public Citizen analysis of CMS financial data, April 2026
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed into law on July 4, 2025, represents the single largest legislative shift in the hospital closure risk landscape in recent history. The CBO’s nonpartisan estimate projects $911 billion in federal Medicaid and CHIP cuts over ten years — a reduction that will flow through directly to hospitals as lost revenue and increased uncompensated care. Hospitals with the highest Medicaid patient shares — which are disproportionately rural hospitals, critical access hospitals, and urban safety-net facilities — face the steepest exposure. A Public Citizen analysis of CMS financial data (2022–2024) covering approximately 95% of US hospitals identified more than 400 hospitals as being at high risk of closing or cutting essential services as a direct consequence of these cuts, defined as hospitals where Medicaid comprises at least 20% of revenue and that have been operating at a net loss.
The $50 billion Rural Health Transformation Program included in the same legislation was described by supporters as a buffer for rural hospitals. However, the CBO and Harvard’s Healthcare Quality and Outcomes Lab calculated that this allocation covers only approximately 37% of estimated federal Medicaid funding losses in rural areas over the same period — meaning rural hospitals face a net funding shortfall even after accounting for the earmarked fund. The CMS calendar year 2026 outpatient payment rate increase of 2.6% — finalized in November 2025 — was described by the AHA as “inadequate” and insufficient to offset the combined pressure of workforce cost increases, inflationary supply chain costs, and the reimbursement gap. These policy realities mean that the 734 rural hospitals currently at risk of closure are navigating this environment with deteriorating balance sheets and shrinking federal support.
Disclaimer: This research report is compiled from publicly available sources. While reasonable efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is given as to the completeness or reliability of the information. We accept no liability for any errors, omissions, losses, or damages of any kind arising from the use of this report.

